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Alex Smart Alex Smart
Alex Smart Sports -Testing 38-22 NBA run with my dime players up by more than $13000.00. Get the pro hoops info the books do not want you to have.
Alex Smart Sports- NBA WEST COAST LATE STEAM ( Side) - Pelicans @ Lakers

The New Orleans Pelicans take on the LA Lakers in  West Coast NBA action this Tuesday night. Join me as I explain which side has the edge? Get the pro hoops info the books do not want you to have, Tests 43-29 60% NBA side run! Tips after 10:05 pm et

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 24, 2020
Nebraska vs Illinois
OVER 145½ -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

 Play OVER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 24, 2020
South Carolina State vs Florida A&M
Florida A&M
-5 -105 at BMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Florida A&M has proven they love home cooking as is evident-by their  7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS conference record at home this season and tonight on a short line Im betting they get the job done again. 

Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (S CAROLINA ST) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 6-68 SU dating back 23 seasons  losing by an average DD count which qualifies under a ATS metric wager. 

Play. on Florida A&M to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 24, 2020
Alcorn State vs Alabama State
OVER 135½ -109 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

 Play OVER 
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Feb 24, 2020
Grizzlies vs Clippers
Clippers
-9½ -105 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Kawhi Leonard said the Los Angeles Clippers weren't ready to play Saturday before losing at home to the Sacramento Kings. He doesn't expect that to be the case Monday when the Clippers host the Memphis Grizzlies. With the Grizzlies expected to be  without power forward Jaren Jackson Jr., who sustained a sprained left knee late in the second quarter against the Lakers last time out, Im  betting the Grizzlies wont have enough offensive to hand with a talented hungry redemption minded team with revenge on board for loss to Memphis earlier this season . LA CLIPPERS are 8-1 ATS  in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points this season with the average ppg diff clicking in at 14.3 ppg. 

Play on LA Clippers to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 24, 2020
Norfolk State vs Bethune-Cookman
Norfolk State
-1 -105 at BMaker
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

 Norfolks offense has shown itself to be of the top tier variety in  MEAC play , The Spartans rank first in adjusted offensive efficiency and 3P%. and third  in offensive rebounding and second in team free throw percentage conversion rate. Meanwhile,Bethune Cookman is a team that is an inconsistent offensive force  converting at just  45.5%  via their inside FG shots ranking a ugly  321st overall in the nation. In the end I look for the more consistent offence to come out on top and get us the win and cover. 

BETHUNE-COOKMAN is 0-7 ATS  after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.

CBB  road team (NORFOLK ST) - after going under the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 150-95 ATS L/23 seasons for a long term 61% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Norfolk State to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 24, 2020
Oklahoma State vs Kansas
Oklahoma State
+14½ -109 at GTBets
Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Premium

Kansas is off a huge road win vs Baylor last time out in a hard fought affair that will have them in an emotional letdown situation vs a side that Im sure their over looking. This will give us an edge taking points, with Oklahoma State. 

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (OKLAHOMA ST) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 56-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma State to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 24, 2020
West Virginia vs Texas
Texas
+5½ -108 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

West Virginia embarrassed Texas 97-58 in their first meeting this season and now Im betting  Shaka Smart and his Texas Longhorns will be ready to respond. Smart is 3-0 ATS in revenge for a loss of 20 points or more in his career . Texas now in desperation mode needing a win to remain viable for a NCAA tournament appearance, will leave everything on the floor tonight .Texas snapped a four-game losing streak by beating TCU at home in front of about 4,200 people in the 16,000-seat Erwin Center. Then UT built on that by smashing Kansas State 70-59 at Bramlage Coliseum. The fan base looks like they have given up on them, and Im sure Smart is aware of this as his tenure in Texas either winds down or is extended based on these late season performances. While I know its not always a good idea to  proverbially attach yourself to a drowning man, I do believe getting five or more points with someone trying to save their own lives is a viable wager. 

Play on Texas to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Feb 24, 2020
Magic vs Nets
Nets
-3 -104 at betonline
Lost
$104.0
Play Type: Premium

The Brooklyn Nets and Orlando Magic are trending in opposite directions of late.Brooklyn  has won 8 of their L/12 since losing five in a row to top tier  teams from Jan. 14-23.The Nets have six victories vs below.500 teams during the 12 game subset  with  seven wins coming by double digits margins while  allowing just  105.4 points. From a SRS standpoint: Orlando owns a -1.37 SRS ranking 19th in the league while Brooklyns number clicks in at -0.58 ranking 15th in the league. With an obligatory home court advantage thrown in im estimating this number should be closer to -4, thus giving us value with the Nets. Note:Simple Rating System; a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average.

Brooklyn lost the first meeting in this series this season back in January on the road and should be motivated to get redemption tonight. 

The Magic are 2-18 ATS /3-17 SU on the road with more than one day of rest off a home game facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with 10 straight losses all coming by more than this number.The Magic are 1-13-1 ATS /1-14 SU as a dog with rest off a loss facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with every loss in the subset coming by at least 5 ppg or more. ORLANDO is 0-8 ATS  after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots this season.

NBA Teams  like the Nets are 16-0 ATS /SU L/16 at home with rest off a win in a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 12 turnovers per game. 

The Nets are 10-2 in the past 12 home meetings with Orlando. BROOKLYN is 31-16 ATS  against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons

NBA Road teams (ORLANDO) - after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread, in a game involving two marginal losing teams (40 to 49%) are 8-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a for 80% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Brooklyn to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Feb 24, 2020
Bucks vs Wizards
OVER 240½ -109 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

This is obviously a high total and there was a time when I would be looking for value on the under. But now in the new NBA the league facilitates entertaining  back and forth affairs which their fan base obviously embraces. In recent meetings these teams have taken part in take no prisoners run and gun offensive slugfests with the average combined score of the L/3 meetings  clicking in at 268 ppg. 

Milwaukee runs the No.1 ranked pace and the most explosive offence in the league , while the Wizards, rank 6th in ppg output and 6th in pace, but rank last in the league in defence ppg allowed and defensive efficiency. The x factor here is the Bucks top tier D, but it must be noted that WASHINGTON is 8-0 OVER  versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 43% or better  over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score of those games clicking in at a whopping 266 points per game and overall Brooks is 10-0 OVER versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 43% or better as the coach of WASHINGTON with a combined average score of 253.5 ppg going on the score board.

The Wizards are 18-1 OVER L/19 as a dog off a loss in a road game facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with the average combined score clicking in at 250.1 ppg. 

Play OVER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Feb 24, 2020
Suns vs Jazz
Jazz
-7½ -115 at betonline
Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Premium

The Suns are off a hard fought win vs the Bulls in Chicago last time out and now go against a hungry Utah Jazz team that has lost two straight including one as home fav vs the Rockets by a 120-110 count . It must be noted that the Suns have not won back to back games since back in mid January, and Im betting they lose again tonight and more importantly fail to cover vs a very motivated opponent. ( Utah has won 10 straight at home in this series with the 4 most  recent battles dating back to 2018 have all seen DD victories with the last 3 coming by 33, 28, 28 points respectively. Rinse and repeat tonight. 

The Jazz are 12-0 ATS /SU L/12 with rest off a 10+ loss as a home favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end winning by an average of 15 ppg.

NBA Teams like the Jazz are 18-1 ATS /SU L/19 as a favorite with rest off a 10+ loss in which they had fewer than 15 foul with the average ppg diff clicking in at +18 ppg. 

The Jazz are 10-0 ATS /SU L/10 as a favorite with rest off a 10+ loss in a home game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 with the average ppg diff registering at +13.1 ppg. 

The Suns are 0-11 ATS /SU off a game as a favorite facing an opponent averaging less than 10 offensive rebounds with the average ppg diff clicking in at -15.3 ppg. 

Play on Utah to cover 

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Feb 25, 2020
Devils vs Red Wings
UNDER 6 -117
Play Type: Premium

The New Jersey Devils and Detroit Red Wings both occupy the basement of their respective divisions in the Eastern Conference. NJ has won 2 straight games,  with tight defensive efforts by 2-1 and 3-2 counts while  the Red Wings, who have dropped 16 of 19 (3-15-1) and scored more than three goals only once in that span. Im expecting the Devils to continue this type of hockey as its been success-full lately and for Motown to continue to struggle to score which will result in lower scoring affair. 

Under is 6-0-1 in Red Wings last 7 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Under is 7-0-1 in Red Wings last 8 vs. Metropolitan.Under is 6-1-2 in Red Wings last 9 overall.Under is 6-1-2 in Red Wings last 9 games as an underdog.Under is 6-1-1 in Red Wings last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 5-1-1 in Red Wings last 7 games as a home underdog.Under is 5-1-2 in Red Wings last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.Under is 5-1-1 in Red Wings last 7 home games.

 Under is 8-0-1 in Devils last 9 games as a favorite.

Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.

Play on the  UNDER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 25, 2020
Dayton vs George Mason
George Mason
+12½ -115 at jazz
Play Type: Premium

The Flyers 25-2 (14-0) are getting a little much respect from linesmakers in this spot. Hey their looking like a viable NCAA tournament team, but this line is bloated thanks to their success, so in. my usual contrarian fashion I will take the points here on a value line. George Mason upset the Flyers 67-63 earlier this season, but just because the road team wants revenge it doesn't mean they will get it and or cover the number. 

CBB Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (GEORGE MASON) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games are 59-17 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on George Mason to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 25, 2020
Iowa vs Michigan State
OVER 151½ -109
Play Type: Premium

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

 Play OVER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 25, 2020
Kentucky vs Texas A&M
Texas A&M
+6½ -101 at pinnacle
Play Type: Premium

No. 8-ranked Kentucky hits the hardwood Tuesday night to tangle with the suddenly surging Texas A&M Aggies at Reed Arena and my projections make the young Blue Devils and over rated commodity in this spot laying points. Calaparis troops have struggled at times thanks to  injuries to Nick Richards (ankle), EJ Montgomery (ankle), Johnny Juzang (illness), Nate Sestina (fractured wrist) and Ashton Hagans (thigh contusion) as well as the departure of heralded freshman Kahlil Whitney. They do however remain at the top of the standings thanks to their coaches prowess and their deep bench, but will face a fast improving Buzz Williams coached team that must not be underestimated. 

TEXAS A&M is 8-1 ATS versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

KENTUCKY is 2-8 ATS  after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (KENTUCKY) - off a home win against a conference rival, a top-level team ( 80% or better) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are just 30-66 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 69% conversion rate for bettors.

Take the points with Texas A&M 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 25, 2020
Miami-OH vs Kent State
Miami-OH
+10 -110 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

This past weekend Kent State played a back and forth Double OT affair vs Buffalo and lost 104-98 and  now Im betting they will be in an emotional letdown situation vs a Miami team that matches up well against them as was evident earlier this season when. , Miami O took a 77-74 tilt on their own home court. Also key Flashes forward Pippen is not 100% with back issues.Advantage Miami 0. 

 MIAMI OHIO is 6-0 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

KENT ST is 0-6 ATS  versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season this season.Senderoff is 0-7 ATS  in home games after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more as the coach of KENT ST.

Play on Miami 0 to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 25, 2020
DePaul vs Xavier
DePaul
+7 -103 at pinnacle
Play Type: Premium

DePaul is off a big win vs Georgetown last time out that halted a ugly losing streak. This Demon Deacons team is talented and much better than their  conference record indicates. The Blue Demons are 72nd in the NCAA NET rankings and have victories  vs Butler, Texas Tech, Iowa, Georgetown and Minnesota. DePaul's capable of putting together 40 minutes of winning basketball behind a big, athletic starting lineup and must not underestimated vs what my own rankings suggest is a over rated Xavier side. I know Xavier clobbered the Deacons when they met earlier this season, but it must be noted that the visiting team has won the last three meetings in the series. XAVIER is 3-10 ATS  in home lined games this season.XAVIER is 2-8 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Play on DePaul to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Feb 25, 2020
Thunder vs Bulls
Thunder
-6½ -110 at Buckeye
Play Type: Premium

Oklahoma City has played their best hoops on the road this season and are currently on a 8 game road win streak, and tonight against  Bulls team that just snapped a 8 game losing streak, Im betting they once again have an advantage.

The Bulls are 0-11 ATS /SU L/11 at home off a win in a home game and  are 0-12 ATS/SU at home off a win in a home game facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with the average ppg diff clicking in at -17.9 ppg. The Bulls are 0-11 ATS /SU L/11 at home with rest off a home game facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5 with the average ppg diff registering at -13.9 ppg. 

The Thunder are 16-0-1 ATS /15-2 SU on the road with less than two days rest.

The Thunder are 16-0 ATS /14-2 SU on the road with less than two days rest facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end.

The Thunder are 16-1-1 ATS /15-3 SU on the road.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover 

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 20 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.